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24 May 2025 · 10:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.8%
Chornomorets
30.7%
Draw
46.5%
Oleksandria

Expected Goals (xG)

0.76

Chornomorets

vs
1.22

Oleksandria

Markets

BTTS38.0%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.559.3%
Over 2.531.8%
Over 3.514.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.4%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-0
10.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
4.9%
0-3
4.1%
2-0
4.0%
1-3
3.2%
2-2
3.0%
0-4
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).