Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.8%
Albacete
25.7%
Draw
34.6%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Albacete
vs
1.28
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
9.7%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).