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21 Feb 2026 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.8%
Dender
22.0%
Draw
59.1%
Sint-Truiden

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Dender

vs
2.00

Sint-Truiden

Markets

BTTS56.4%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.536.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.5%
0-1
9.2%
1-3
6.6%
0-3
6.3%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
5.2%
0-0
5.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-3
3.5%
1-4
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).