Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.6%
Piast Gliwice
28.8%
Draw
34.6%
Jagiellonia Białystok
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Piast Gliwice
vs
1.26
Jagiellonia Białystok
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
8.9%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).