Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.2%
Dender
26.3%
Draw
48.5%
Mechelen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Dender
vs
1.60
Mechelen
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
8.7%
0-0
7.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
5.0%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).