⚽ FootballData
2 – 1
HHT: 21CSV

24 Sept 2023 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
47.2%
Le Havre
30.0%
Draw
22.8%
Clermont

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

Le Havre

vs
0.68

Clermont

Markets

BTTS32.9%
Over 0.584.5%
Over 1.553.6%
Over 2.527.4%
Over 3.511.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
19.1%
0-0
15.5%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.8%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
0-2
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
2-2
2.4%
4-0
1.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).