Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.8%
Brighton
27.9%
Draw
32.3%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Brighton
vs
1.36
Brentford
Markets
BTTS59.8%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
0-1
6.0%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).