Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.1%
Millwall
27.0%
Draw
18.8%
West Brom
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Millwall
vs
0.83
West Brom
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
11.2%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).