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HHT: 10CSV

18 Apr 2021 · 13:00

Elche

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.1%
Osasuna
23.2%
Draw
19.7%
Elche

Expected Goals (xG)

1.83

Osasuna

vs
0.98

Elche

Markets

BTTS52.7%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.0%
1-0
10.8%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
6.2%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-2
3.0%
0-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).