Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.4%
Sevilla
13.2%
Draw
7.4%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
2.81
Sevilla
vs
0.77
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.569.3%
Over 3.547.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.0%
3-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
4-0
7.3%
1-1
6.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-0
4.1%
2-2
3.2%
5-1
3.1%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).