Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.3%
Tenerife
25.6%
Draw
47.1%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Tenerife
vs
1.50
Almeria
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-0
8.3%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).