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03 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.4%
Bristol City
35.4%
Draw
44.3%
Mulbarton Wanderers

Expected Goals (xG)

0.53

Bristol City

vs
0.93

Mulbarton Wanderers

Markets

BTTS24.5%
Over 0.577.2%
Over 1.542.6%
Over 2.518.2%
Over 3.56.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
22.8%
0-1
22.0%
1-0
12.6%
1-1
11.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-0
3.2%
0-3
3.2%
2-1
3.0%
1-3
1.7%
2-2
1.4%
0-4
0.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).