Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →91.0%
FC Koln
6.5%
Draw
2.4%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
3.86
FC Koln
vs
0.64
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.594.1%
Over 2.582.6%
Over 3.565.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.6%
4-0
10.3%
2-0
8.3%
5-0
7.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-1
6.6%
2-1
5.3%
5-1
5.1%
1-0
4.1%
1-1
3.0%
3-2
2.2%
4-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).