Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.5%
Famalicao
27.7%
Draw
18.8%
Vitória Guimarães
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Famalicao
vs
0.78
Vitória Guimarães
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
11.5%
0-0
11.0%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.5%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).