Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.2%
Leicester
19.6%
Draw
70.1%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Leicester
vs
2.32
Brentford
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.8%
1-2
9.5%
1-1
9.4%
0-3
9.1%
0-1
9.1%
1-3
7.4%
0-0
5.5%
0-4
5.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-2
3.8%
2-1
3.3%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).