Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.1%
Milton Keynes Dons
26.7%
Draw
34.2%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
1.06
Swindon
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
0-1
12.6%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.0%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).