Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.6%
Valencia
28.2%
Draw
41.2%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Valencia
vs
1.30
Celta
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
0-1
11.8%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
8.4%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).