Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.1%
Frosinone
20.0%
Draw
64.9%
Napoli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Frosinone
vs
2.04
Napoli
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.4%
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
0-3
7.8%
1-3
6.7%
0-0
5.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
2-1
4.2%
0-4
4.0%
1-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).