Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.7%
Erzgebirge Aue
21.7%
Draw
63.6%
Paderborn
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Erzgebirge Aue
vs
2.12
Paderborn
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.6%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.0%
0-3
7.5%
1-3
7.0%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
4.6%
2-1
4.4%
0-4
4.0%
1-4
3.7%
1-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).