Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.5%
Carlisle
19.5%
Draw
14.0%
Eastleigh
Expected Goals (xG)
2.36
Carlisle
vs
1.01
Eastleigh
Markets
BTTS58.3%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
7.6%
3-0
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-2
4.9%
4-1
4.5%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
0-0
4.1%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).