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18 Apr 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.8%
Southend
25.3%
Draw
10.0%
Braintree Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.63

Southend

vs
0.49

Braintree Town

Markets

BTTS32.1%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.7%
2-0
15.9%
0-0
12.8%
1-1
10.4%
3-0
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-0
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-2
1.9%
4-1
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).