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21 Feb 2025 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.5%
Bodrumspor
36.1%
Draw
29.4%
Hatayspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.13

Bodrumspor

vs
1.03

Hatayspor

Markets

BTTS47.0%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.8%
0-0
14.9%
1-0
9.6%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).