Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.1%
Schalke 04
27.4%
Draw
43.5%
M'gladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Schalke 04
vs
1.48
M'gladbach
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
8.0%
0-2
7.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
2-2
5.3%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).