Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.6%
Raków Częstochowa
26.6%
Draw
28.8%
Lech Poznań
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Raków Częstochowa
vs
1.25
Lech Poznań
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
6.8%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).