Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.3%
St Etienne
21.4%
Draw
27.3%
Guingamp
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
St Etienne
vs
1.24
Guingamp
Markets
BTTS58.4%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-0
7.8%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
4.6%
0-0
3.9%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).