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HHT: 11CSV

20 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.2%
Nimes
21.4%
Draw
31.4%
Bordeaux

Expected Goals (xG)

1.85

Nimes

vs
1.47

Bordeaux

Markets

BTTS64.4%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.542.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
3-2
4.1%
0-2
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).