Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.8%
Empoli
21.4%
Draw
63.8%
Napoli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Empoli
vs
1.87
Napoli
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.6%
0-2
12.5%
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
7.8%
0-0
7.0%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
0-4
3.7%
1-4
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).