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15 Mar 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.4%
Grimsby
25.3%
Draw
32.3%
Salford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Grimsby

vs
1.18

Salford

Markets

BTTS51.4%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.2%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
0-0
7.1%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).