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AHT: 10CSV

28 Feb 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.7%
Charleroi
17.2%
Draw
12.1%
Waasland-Beveren

Expected Goals (xG)

2.56

Charleroi

vs
0.99

Waasland-Beveren

Markets

BTTS58.5%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.587.4%
Over 2.568.8%
Over 3.547.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
7.9%
1-1
7.7%
1-0
6.9%
4-0
5.1%
4-1
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-2
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
0-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).