Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.7%
Istanbulspor
26.6%
Draw
54.7%
Hatayspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Istanbulspor
vs
1.98
Hatayspor
Markets
BTTS60.8%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.537.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
8.8%
0-0
7.0%
1-3
6.5%
0-1
6.3%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
2-2
5.6%
2-3
3.7%
1-4
3.2%
0-4
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).