Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.2%
Brest
21.6%
Draw
59.1%
Aris
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Brest
vs
1.88
Aris
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
0-0
5.5%
2-1
5.1%
2-2
4.8%
0-4
3.0%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).