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07 Dec 2025 · 16:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.2%
Le Havre
30.3%
Draw
29.5%
Paris FC

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Le Havre

vs
0.84

Paris FC

Markets

BTTS36.0%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.555.3%
Over 2.529.1%
Over 3.512.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.6%
0-0
14.5%
0-1
13.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).