Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.4%
Ascoli
31.6%
Draw
40.0%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Ascoli
vs
1.21
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.6%
0-1
12.3%
1-0
9.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
3.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).