Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.9%
Sheffield Weds
32.3%
Draw
47.8%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Sheffield Weds
vs
1.22
Charlton
Markets
BTTS36.2%
Over 0.584.1%
Over 1.558.0%
Over 2.529.9%
Over 3.512.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.0%
0-0
15.9%
1-1
13.5%
0-2
11.0%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
7.6%
0-3
4.5%
2-1
4.3%
2-0
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
0-4
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).