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AHT: 01CSV

30 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.6%
Rotherham
31.4%
Draw
46.1%
Blackburn

Expected Goals (xG)

0.80

Rotherham

vs
1.26

Blackburn

Markets

BTTS40.6%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.515.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.9%
1-1
13.9%
0-0
13.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
5.2%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).