Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.7%
Doncaster
29.1%
Draw
29.2%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Doncaster
vs
0.90
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.559.7%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.514.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
12.5%
0-1
12.3%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).