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HHT: 10CSV

16 Feb 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.9%
Panathinaikos
23.8%
Draw
12.3%
Asteras Tripolis

Expected Goals (xG)

1.83

Panathinaikos

vs
0.68

Asteras Tripolis

Markets

BTTS42.3%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.0%
2-0
13.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
9.1%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
4.6%
4-0
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
4-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).