Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.3%
Barrow
31.4%
Draw
25.3%
Altrincham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Barrow
vs
0.88
Altrincham
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.535.6%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
13.8%
0-0
13.1%
0-1
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).