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23 May 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.7%
Obolon'
35.6%
Draw
27.7%
Livyi Bereh

Expected Goals (xG)

0.89

Obolon'

vs
0.73

Livyi Bereh

Markets

BTTS31.1%
Over 0.579.9%
Over 1.548.7%
Over 2.522.3%
Over 3.58.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
20.1%
1-0
17.2%
0-1
14.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
5.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
3-0
2.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-1
1.7%
0-3
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).