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AHT: 02CSV

02 Nov 2024 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.5%
Cartagena
24.0%
Draw
53.5%
La Coruna

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Cartagena

vs
1.68

La Coruna

Markets

BTTS51.3%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
11.7%
1-1
11.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
1-0
7.0%
0-0
6.7%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).