Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.6%
Caen
26.9%
Draw
34.5%
Laval
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Caen
vs
1.06
Laval
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
0-1
12.8%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).