Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.6%
Alcorcon
30.9%
Draw
48.5%
Espanol
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Alcorcon
vs
1.17
Espanol
Markets
BTTS32.7%
Over 0.583.8%
Over 1.554.0%
Over 2.527.3%
Over 3.511.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.2%
0-0
16.2%
1-1
12.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-0
10.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-3
4.3%
2-1
4.0%
2-0
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-2
2.3%
0-4
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).