Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.2%
Stevenage
31.3%
Draw
32.5%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Stevenage
vs
0.89
Exeter
Markets
BTTS35.8%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.554.6%
Over 2.528.2%
Over 3.511.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
0-0
15.2%
0-1
14.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
7.2%
2-1
6.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
2.9%
3-0
2.3%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).