Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.5%
Dresden
22.8%
Draw
30.7%
Karlsruhe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06
Dresden
vs
1.66
Karlsruhe
Markets
BTTS71.5%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.589.4%
Over 2.571.8%
Over 3.551.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-2
4.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-3
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
3-0
3.5%
0-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).