Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.8%
Stoke
34.4%
Draw
23.8%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Stoke
vs
0.74
Charlton
Markets
BTTS35.2%
Over 0.582.4%
Over 1.554.8%
Over 2.526.9%
Over 3.510.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.6%
1-0
16.5%
1-1
14.0%
0-1
11.1%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).