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31 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.1%
Braintree Town
34.9%
Draw
35.0%
Herne Bay

Expected Goals (xG)

0.74

Braintree Town

vs
0.83

Herne Bay

Markets

BTTS29.1%
Over 0.579.6%
Over 1.546.1%
Over 2.520.9%
Over 3.57.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
20.4%
0-1
17.6%
1-0
15.8%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-1
4.7%
0-3
2.0%
2-2
2.0%
1-3
1.5%
3-0
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).