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01 Apr 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.1%
Stoke
27.2%
Draw
18.7%
Huddersfield

Expected Goals (xG)

1.58

Stoke

vs
0.83

Huddersfield

Markets

BTTS45.9%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
11.2%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.5%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).