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HHT: 10CSV

19 Aug 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.1%
Morecambe
23.5%
Draw
57.5%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

0.83

Morecambe

vs
1.65

Bradford

Markets

BTTS45.0%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
7.9%
1-0
7.4%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).