Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.5%
Gateshead
24.3%
Draw
25.2%
Ebbsfleet
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Gateshead
vs
1.28
Ebbsfleet
Markets
BTTS61.9%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.5%
1-0
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
5.2%
3-0
4.7%
0-1
4.6%
3-2
3.8%
0-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).