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26 Dec 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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66.5%
Oxford
18.3%
Draw
15.2%
Cambridge

Expected Goals (xG)

2.08

Oxford

vs
0.86

Cambridge

Markets

BTTS49.6%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.8%
2-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
8.7%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
6.8%
0-1
5.3%
0-0
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
4.0%
4-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).